Greetings Bill,
Even Lord Mersey accepted that his figures were impossible. His count being about 200 more than were actually in the boats. After taking about 30 off the total for the impossible 71 persons for boat C; allowing that boat 1 was correct and 5 and 7 close the other 14 boats need to have 170 persons removed from them.
Working aft on the port-side, boat D was about 22 under its estimate; boat 2 is now generally put at about 18 = 8 under. For boat 4 with some questions over who was in the boat was probably about 10 under. For boats 6 & 8 we can reduce by about 7 & 11; to about 21 and 28 respectively.
For boat 10 the number is now accepted to be about 30, so less 25; for boat 12 the estimate can be reduced by perhaps 20. In part I believe this depends on a reverse count. How many were in the boat when it was picked up? Take off the number taken from boats 14 & 4.
Boat 14: While I dislike estimates [they are usually too high]; allowing that about 48 [estimates given in Gracie's book suggest about 12 (10 or 12 for D) each] were put into boats 4, 10, 12 & D with 2 men taken from 10; and 7 returning in boat 14, then there will have been about 53 in boat 14. - So about 10 below the British figure; and 5 below Lowe's about 58 in reply to Senator Smith on the number in boat 14.
Recent estimates put 16 at closer to 35, so about 21 below the British figure.
I realize that many of these figures are quite speculative, but it indicates the British Inquiry over-estimation for the port boats could be close to [as high as?] 135. That is starting to make full after starboard boats a possibility.
But what of the remaining starboard boats? How many crew were in boat 3? Was it 3 or 15? In other words were there about 28 or about 40 in the boat? Accepting the higher figure reduces the British figure by 10.
The British figure for the after starboard boats is 260. So if what I have outlined above is anything like correct then 260 will reduce to about 235; which would seem to suggest close to full boats for 11, 13 and 15. 9 by all estimates I have seen being less full.
So in answer to Delia's question the only boats that I would point to as probably being lowered full are boats 11, 13 & 15.
But if recent calculations for some of the port-boats are too low then there will have been fewer persons in the after starboard boats. - At least that is how I see the situation. - Any added thoughts would be appreciated.
Regards,
Lester