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Message: [QUOTE="Jim Currie, post: 451524, member: 144215"] Hello Tony, There is nothing in the available evidence that points to Smith being aware of a positive, potential danger to his ship or of him ignoring the content of information indicating potential danger to his ship. Every one of us has options, and we weigh our options against a desired outcome. What you suggest is that Smith employed "gut-feeling" in his decision-making process, which is indeed, a fault of the over-confident. I am sure that you know, as I do, that the captain who relies on "gut-feeling" is a very different individual from the captain who weighs up the situation - then, after comparing the historic and latest relative intelligence he has, compares it to his knowledge and relative experience. Thereafter he acts according to what these comparisons tell him. In fact, Smith and his officers exercised a degree of caution commensurate with the information regarding ice that they [I]did[/I] have. [/QUOTE]